📅 09/11/25🕒 14:00🏟️ The City Ground🧑⚖️ Jarred Gillett, Australia
Biggest Swing+1.88 xT90' E. AndersonCards3
Nottingham Forest 3-1 Leeds — xTears 12.70 (09/11/25)
Nottingham Forest came back to win 3-1 against Leeds on 9 November 2025 during Matchday 11 of the Premier League. Total damage: 12.70 xTears.
The real swing for Nottingham Forest arrived through I. Sangaré at 15' goal (+1.24 xT) and M. Gibbs-White at 68' goal (+1.77 xT), the sequence that changed who owned the match.
The match changed hands after the first blow, and Nottingham Forest's comeback ended up outweighing the opening phase.
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How it unfolded
Timeline
13'
Goal
L. Nmecha - Leeds
Assist: B. Aaronson
15'
Goal
I. Sangaré - Nottingham Forest
68'
Goal
M. Gibbs-White - Nottingham Forest
Assist: O. Hutchinson
90'
Penalty
E. Anderson - Nottingham Forest
Absolute chaos
🧨
7.66
90'
Penalty
+1.88 xT
E. Anderson - Nottingham Forest
68'
Goal
+1.77 xT
M. Gibbs-White - Nottingham Forest
Assist: O. Hutchinson
13'
Goal
+1.41 xT
L. Nmecha - Leeds
Assist: B. Aaronson
15'
Goal
+1.24 xT
I. Sangaré - Nottingham Forest
Late drama
🔥
3.24
90'
Penalty
+1.88 xT
E. Anderson - Nottingham Forest
82'
Substitution
+0.46 xT
J. Harrison for G. Gudmundsson - Leeds
82'
Substitution
+0.46 xT
P. Struijk for J. Bijol - Leeds
88'
Substitution
+0.44 xT
Morato for M. Gibbs-White - Nottingham Forest
All-out war
🟥
2.61
71'
Yellow card
+0.99 xT
S. Longstaff - Leeds
33'
Yellow card
+0.81 xT
I. Sangaré - Nottingham Forest
41'
Yellow card
+0.81 xT
Murillo - Nottingham Forest
Referee scandal
🧑⚖️
1.88
90'
Penalty
+1.88 xT
E. Anderson - Nottingham Forest
Cruelty
😈
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Crushed hope
💔
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
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