📅 06/02/26🕒 20:00🏟️ Elland Road🧑⚖️ Peter Bankes, England
Biggest Swing+1.54 xT86' L. LuccaCards2
Leeds 3-1 Nottingham Forest — xTears 10.49 (06/02/26)
Leeds beat Nottingham Forest 3-1 on 6 February 2026 during Matchday 25 of the Premier League. Total xTears: 10.49.
Biggest swings: J. Bogle at 26' goal (+1.41 xT); D. Calvert-Lewin at 49' goal (+1.20 xT).
Control and disruption traded places throughout the match. The bench combined for a decisive goal through L. Lucca and O. Hutchinson at 86'.
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How it unfolded
Timeline
26'
Goal
J. Bogle - Leeds
Assist: I. Gruev
30'
Goal
N. Okafor - Leeds
Assist: J. Justin
49'
Goal
D. Calvert-Lewin - Leeds
Assist: I. Gruev
86'
Goal
L. Lucca - Nottingham Forest
Assist: O. Hutchinson
Absolute chaos
🧨
6.12
86'
Goal
+1.54 xT
L. Lucca - Nottingham Forest
Assist: O. Hutchinson
26'
Goal
+1.41 xT
J. Bogle - Leeds
Assist: I. Gruev
49'
Goal
+1.20 xT
D. Calvert-Lewin - Leeds
Assist: I. Gruev
30'
Goal
+1.12 xT
N. Okafor - Leeds
Assist: J. Justin
Late drama
🔥
2.39
86'
Goal
+1.54 xT
L. Lucca - Nottingham Forest
Assist: O. Hutchinson
90+6'
Substitution
+0.46 xT
S. Bornauw for J. Bogle - Leeds
82'
Substitution
+0.39 xT
S. Longstaff for N. Okafor - Leeds
All-out war
🟥
1.84
62'
Yellow card
+0.99 xT
I. Sangaré - Nottingham Forest
61'
Yellow card
+0.85 xT
N. Okafor - Leeds
Referee scandal
🧑⚖️
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Cruelty
😈
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Crushed hope
💔
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
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