📅 23/11/25🕒 14:00🏟️ Elland Road🧑⚖️ Robert Jones, England
ScorerM. Rogers2 goalsBiggest Swing+1.96 xT75' M. RogersCards6
Leeds 1-2 Aston Villa — xTears 15.43 (23/11/25)
Aston Villa came back to win 1-2 against Leeds on 23 November 2025 during Matchday 12 of the Premier League. Total damage: 15.43 xTears.
The real swing for Aston Villa arrived through M. Rogers at 48' goal (+1.47 xT) and M. Rogers at 75' goal (+1.96 xT), the sequence that changed who owned the match.
The match changed hands after the first blow, and Aston Villa's comeback ended up outweighing the opening phase.
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How it unfolded
Timeline
8'
Goal
L. Nmecha - Leeds
48'
Goal
M. Rogers - Aston Villa
Assist: D. Malen
75'
Goal
M. Rogers - Aston Villa
78'
Goal wiped out by VAR
D. Calvert-Lewin - Leeds
Absolute chaos
🧨
7.68
75'
Goal
+1.96 xT
M. Rogers - Aston Villa
78'
Goal wiped out by VAR
+1.53 xT
D. Calvert-Lewin - Leeds
48'
Goal
+1.47 xT
M. Rogers - Aston Villa
Assist: D. Malen
8'
Goal
+1.41 xT
L. Nmecha - Leeds
All-out war
🟥
5.40
89'
Yellow card
+1.16 xT
W. Gnonto - Leeds
63'
Yellow card
+0.92 xT
E. Ampadu - Leeds
74'
Yellow card
+0.92 xT
P. Struijk - Leeds
53'
Yellow card
+0.86 xT
J. McGinn - Aston Villa
Late drama
🔥
2.47
89'
Yellow card
+1.16 xT
W. Gnonto - Leeds
80'
Substitution
+0.46 xT
J. Piroe for B. Aaronson - Leeds
80'
Substitution
+0.46 xT
W. Gnonto for N. Okafor - Leeds
84'
Substitution
+0.39 xT
L. Bogarde for Y. Tielemans - Aston Villa
Referee scandal
🧑⚖️
1.53
78'
Goal wiped out by VAR
+1.53 xT
D. Calvert-Lewin - Leeds
Cruelty
😈
1.53
78'
Goal wiped out by VAR
+1.53 xT
D. Calvert-Lewin - Leeds
Crushed hope
💔
1.53
78'
Goal wiped out by VAR
+1.53 xT
D. Calvert-Lewin - Leeds
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