Arsenal 1-0 Chelsea — xTears 9.81 (16/03/25)
Arsenal won 1-0 against Chelsea on 16 March 2025 during Matchday 29 of the Premier League, even with the xTears split tilting slightly the other way. Total damage: 9.81 xTears.
Even with the xTears split leaning slightly the other way, the heaviest moments for Arsenal still ran through Mikel Merino at 20' goal (+1.41 xT) and Pedro Neto at 52' yellow card (+0.93 xT).
The scoreboard and xTears did not tell exactly the same story: Arsenal punished better without fully owning the emotional volume.
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How it unfolded
20'
Goal
Mikel Merino - Arsenal
Assist: M. Ødegaard
All-out war
5.17
52'
Yellow card
+0.93 xT
Pedro Neto - Chelsea
59'
Yellow card
+0.93 xT
W. Fofana - Chelsea
30'
Yellow card
+0.86 xT
L. Colwill - Chelsea
65'
Yellow card
+0.85 xT
M. Ødegaard - Arsenal
Absolute chaos
3.33
20'
Goal
+1.41 xT
Mikel Merino - Arsenal
Assist: M. Ødegaard
86'
Substitution
+0.51 xT
T. Adarabioyo for B. Badiashile - Chelsea
86'
Substitution
+0.51 xT
M. Gusto for W. Fofana - Chelsea
82'
Substitution
+0.46 xT
R. Lavia for R. James - Chelsea
Late drama
1.92
86'
Substitution
+0.51 xT
T. Adarabioyo for B. Badiashile - Chelsea
86'
Substitution
+0.51 xT
M. Gusto for W. Fofana - Chelsea
82'
Substitution
+0.46 xT
R. Lavia for R. James - Chelsea
90'
Substitution
+0.44 xT
K. Tierney for M. Ødegaard - Arsenal
Referee scandal
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Cruelty
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Crushed hope
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Other pretty unhinged matches
The most unhinged matches connected to this one.
Head-to-head
Premier League|21 Oct 2023
Chelsea
2Arsenal
215.77
Arsenal
Premier League|04 Feb 2024
Arsenal
3Liverpool
121.03
Chelsea
Premier League|06 Nov 2023
Tottenham
1Chelsea
424.55
This season
Premier League|19 Oct 2024
Fulham
1Aston Villa
323.57
Premier League
Premier League|30 Sept 2023
Tottenham
2Liverpool
124.66

