📅 28/02/26🕒 12:30🏟️ Pride Park Stadium🧑⚖️ L. Doughty
Biggest Swing+1.61 xT74' M. ClarkeCards7
Derby County 3-1 Blackburn Rovers — xTears 15.79 (28/02/26)
Derby County came back to win 3-1 against Blackburn Rovers on 28 February 2026 during Matchday 35 of EFL Championship. Total damage: 15.79 xTears.
The real swing for Derby County arrived through B. Brereton 55' goal (+1.34 xT) and M. Clarke 74' goal (+1.61 xT), the sequence that changed who owned the match.
The match changed hands after the first blow, and Derby County's comeback ended up outweighing the opening phase.
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How it unfolded
Timeline
45'
Goal
0-1H. Carter - Blackburn Rovers
Assist: Yuri Ribeiro
55'
Goal
1-1B. Brereton - Derby County
Assist: D. Murkin
74'
Goal
2-1M. Clarke - Derby County
82'
Goal
3-1R. Brewster - Derby County
Assist: D. Murkin
Absolute chaos
🧨
8.03
74'
Goal
+1.61 xT
M. Clarke - Derby County
82'
Goal
+1.48 xT
R. Brewster - Derby County
Assist: D. Murkin
45'
Goal
+1.41 xT
H. Carter - Blackburn Rovers
Assist: Yuri Ribeiro
55'
Goal
+1.34 xT
B. Brereton - Derby County
Assist: D. Murkin
All-out war
🟥
6.18
79'
Yellow card
+1.04 xT
H. Carter - Blackburn Rovers
46'
Yellow card
+0.93 xT
B. Clark - Derby County
60'
Yellow card
+0.92 xT
Yuri Ribeiro - Blackburn Rovers
58'
Yellow card
+0.86 xT
E. Cashin - Blackburn Rovers
Late drama
🔥
3.67
82'
Goal
+1.48 xT
R. Brewster - Derby County
Assist: D. Murkin
80'
Substitution
+0.46 xT
D. De Neve for M. Baradji - Blackburn Rovers
80'
Substitution
+0.46 xT
T. Gardner-Hickman for H. Carter - Blackburn Rovers
87'
Substitution
+0.44 xT
C. Forsyth for D. Murkin - Derby County
Referee scandal
🧑⚖️
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Cruelty
😈
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Crushed hope
💔
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Other pretty unhinged matches
The most unhinged matches connected to this one.
Head-to-head
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216.92
xT
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522.49
xT
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EFL Championship|23 Sept 2023
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4Blackburn Rovers
320.04
xT
This season
EFL Championship|21 Feb 2026
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5Ipswich Town
323.27
xT
EFL Championship
EFL Championship|12 Aug 2023
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426.35
xT