Derby County 1-0 Birmingham City — xTears 10.04 (21/03/26)

Derby County won 1-0 against Birmingham City on 21 March 2026 during Matchday 39 of EFL Championship, even with the xTears split tilting slightly the other way. Total damage: 10.04 xTears.

Even with the xTears split leaning slightly the other way, the heaviest moments for Derby County still ran through R. Brewster 43' goal (+1.41 xT) and J. Solis 90+2' yellow card (+1.22 xT).

The scoreboard and xTears did not tell exactly the same story: Derby County punished better without fully owning the emotional volume.