📅 11/06/26🕒 19:00🏟️ Estadio Azteca🧑⚖️ Wilton Pereira Sampaio, Brazil
Biggest Swing+1.77 xT90+2' C. MontesCards6VAR1review
Mexico 2-0 South Africa — xTears 15.55 (11/06/26)
Mexico won 2-0 against South Africa on 11 June 2026 during Matchday 1 of the World Cup, even with the xTears split tilting slightly the other way. Total damage: 15.55 xTears.
Even with the xTears split leaning slightly the other way, the heaviest moments for Mexico still ran through J. Quiñones at 9' goal (+1.41 xT) and T. Zwane at 82' card upgraded by VAR (+1.53 xT).
The scoreboard and xTears did not tell exactly the same story: Mexico punished better without fully owning the emotional volume. Discipline pressure: 3 yellows and 3 reds. Referee-chaos signal under Wilton Pereira Sampaio, Brazil: 1 VAR call.
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How it unfolded
Timeline
9'
Goal
J. Quiñones - Mexico
Assist: É. Lira
49'
Red card
S. Sithole - South Africa
67'
Goal
R. Jiménez - Mexico
Assist: R. Alvarado
82'
Card upgraded by VAR
T. Zwane - South Africa
84'
Red card
T. Zwane - South Africa
90+2'
Red card
C. Montes - Mexico
Absolute chaos
🧨
9.29
90+2'
Red card
+1.77 xT
C. Montes - Mexico
84'
Red card
+1.75 xT
T. Zwane - South Africa
49'
Red card
+1.56 xT
S. Sithole - South Africa
82'
Card upgraded by VAR
+1.53 xT
T. Zwane - South Africa
All-out war
🟥
7.67
90+2'
Red card
+1.77 xT
C. Montes - Mexico
84'
Red card
+1.75 xT
T. Zwane - South Africa
49'
Red card
+1.56 xT
S. Sithole - South Africa
74'
Yellow card
+0.99 xT
N. Sibisi - South Africa
Referee scandal
🧑⚖️
6.61
90+2'
Red card
+1.77 xT
C. Montes - Mexico
84'
Red card
+1.75 xT
T. Zwane - South Africa
49'
Red card
+1.56 xT
S. Sithole - South Africa
82'
Card upgraded by VAR
+1.53 xT
T. Zwane - South Africa
Late drama
🔥
5.05
90+2'
Red card
+1.77 xT
C. Montes - Mexico
84'
Red card
+1.75 xT
T. Zwane - South Africa
82'
Card upgraded by VAR
+1.53 xT
T. Zwane - South Africa
Cruelty
😈
1.75
84'
Red card
+1.75 xT
T. Zwane - South Africa
Crushed hope
💔
Barely left a bruise
0
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