📅 01/07/26🕒 01:00🏟️ Estadio Azteca🧑⚖️ S. Vinčić
Biggest Swing+2.06 xT90+5' P. HincapiéCards4
Mexico 2-0 Ecuador — xTears 11.98 (01/07/26)
Mexico won 2-0 against Ecuador on 1 July 2026 in the World Cup Round of 32, even with the xTears split tilting slightly the other way. Total damage: 11.98 xTears.
Even with the xTears split leaning slightly the other way, the heaviest moments for Mexico still ran through J. Quiñones 22' goal (+1.41 xT) and P. Hincapié 90+5' red card (+2.06 xT).
The scoreboard and xTears did not tell exactly the same story: Mexico punished better without fully owning the emotional volume.
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How it unfolded
Timeline
22'
Goal
J. Quiñones - Mexico
Assist: R. Alvarado
31'
Goal
R. Jiménez - Mexico
Assist: J. Quiñones
90+5'
Red card
P. Hincapié - Ecuador
All-out war
🟥
5.43
90+5'
Red card
+2.06 xT
P. Hincapié - Ecuador
90+3'
Yellow card
+1.22 xT
K. Páez - Ecuador
90+9'
Yellow card
+1.22 xT
M. Caicedo - Ecuador
45+1'
Yellow card
+0.93 xT
A. Franco - Ecuador
Absolute chaos
🧨
5.37
90+5'
Red card
+2.06 xT
P. Hincapié - Ecuador
22'
Goal
+1.41 xT
J. Quiñones - Mexico
Assist: R. Alvarado
31'
Goal
+1.12 xT
R. Jiménez - Mexico
Assist: J. Quiñones
80'
Substitution
+0.39 xT
O. Pineda for J. Quiñones - Mexico
Late drama
🔥
5.28
90+5'
Red card
+2.06 xT
P. Hincapié - Ecuador
90+3'
Yellow card
+1.22 xT
K. Páez - Ecuador
90+9'
Yellow card
+1.22 xT
M. Caicedo - Ecuador
80'
Substitution
+0.39 xT
O. Pineda for J. Quiñones - Mexico
Referee scandal
🧑⚖️
2.06
90+5'
Red card
+2.06 xT
P. Hincapié - Ecuador
Cruelty
😈
2.06
90+5'
Red card
+2.06 xT
P. Hincapié - Ecuador
Crushed hope
💔
Barely left a bruise
0
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