West Ham 1-2 Nottingham Forest — xTears 13.40 (06/01/26)

Nottingham Forest won 1-2 against West Ham on 6 January 2026 during Matchday 21 of the Premier League, even with the xTears split tilting slightly the other way. Total damage: 13.40 xTears.

Even with the xTears split leaning slightly the other way, the heaviest moments for Nottingham Forest still ran through Murillo 13' own goal (+1.92 xT) and M. Gibbs-White 89' penalty (+2.38 xT).

The scoreboard and xTears did not tell exactly the same story: Nottingham Forest punished better without fully owning the emotional volume. The pain was self-inflicted, and it stung: own goal (Murillo at 13').