📅 12/04/26🕒 13:00🏟️ The City Ground🧑⚖️ Michael Salisbury, England
Biggest Swing+1.92 xT23' MurilloCards4
Nottingham Forest 1-1 Aston Villa — xTears 10.65 (12/04/26)
Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa played out a 1-1 draw on 12 April 2026 during Matchday 32 of the Premier League. Total damage: 10.65 xTears.
The heaviest blows came from Murillo 23' own goal (+1.92 xT) and N. Williams 38' goal (+1.24 xT).
This one sat somewhere between composed and chaotic.
Share this damage report
How it unfolded
Timeline
23'
Own goal
0-1Murillo
38'
Goal
1-1N. Williams - Nottingham Forest
Assist: C. Hudson-Odoi
Absolute chaos
🧨
5.50
23'
Own goal
+1.92 xT
Murillo
38'
Goal
+1.24 xT
N. Williams - Nottingham Forest
Assist: C. Hudson-Odoi
90+1'
Substitution
+0.50 xT
Andrés García for M. Cash - Aston Villa
87'
Substitution
+0.47 xT
T. Abraham for O. Watkins - Aston Villa
All-out war
🟥
3.46
63'
Yellow card
+0.92 xT
Murillo - Nottingham Forest
67'
Yellow card
+0.92 xT
J. McGinn - Aston Villa
11'
Yellow card
+0.81 xT
M. Cash - Aston Villa
45'
Yellow card
+0.81 xT
O. Hutchinson - Nottingham Forest
Late drama
🔥
2.34
90+1'
Substitution
+0.50 xT
Andrés García for M. Cash - Aston Villa
87'
Substitution
+0.47 xT
T. Abraham for O. Watkins - Aston Villa
89'
Substitution
+0.47 xT
R. Yates for Igor Jesus - Nottingham Forest
89'
Substitution
+0.47 xT
D. Ndoye for O. Aina - Nottingham Forest
Cruelty
😈
1.92
23'
Own goal
+1.92 xT
Murillo
Referee scandal
🧑⚖️
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Crushed hope
💔
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Other pretty unhinged matches
The most unhinged matches connected to this one.
Head-to-head
Premier League|12 Sept 2026
Aston Villa
1
Nottingham Forest
214.84
xT
Nottingham Forest
Premier League|25 Nov 2023
Nottingham Forest
2
Brighton
320.67
xT
Aston Villa
Premier League|17 Dec 2023
Brentford
1Aston Villa
224.01
xT
This season
Premier League|29 Nov 2025
Sunderland
3
Bournemouth
223.16
xT
Premier League
Premier League|30 Sept 2023
Tottenham
2
Liverpool
124.66
xT