Manchester City 2-1 Newcastle β xTears 13.62 (21/02/26)
Manchester City won 2-1 against Newcastle on 21 February 2026 during Matchday 27 of the Premier League, even with the xTears split tilting slightly the other way. Total damage: 13.62 xTears.
N. O'Reilly ended up carrying the main damage for Manchester City through N. O'Reilly at 14' goal (+1.41 xT) and then N. O'Reilly at 27' goal (+1.63 xT).
The scoreboard and xTears did not tell exactly the same story: Manchester City punished better without fully owning the emotional volume.
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How it unfolded
14'
Goal
N. O'Reilly - Manchester City
Assist: Omar Marmoush
22'
Goal
L. Hall - Newcastle
Assist: J. Ramsey
27'
Goal
N. O'Reilly - Manchester City
Assist: E. Haaland
All-out war
6.42
89'
Yellow card
+1.16 xT
Joelinton - Newcastle
62'
Yellow card
+0.99 xT
H. Barnes - Newcastle
65'
Yellow card
+0.99 xT
K. Trippier - Newcastle
48'
Yellow card
+0.93 xT
J. Willock - Newcastle
Absolute chaos
4.72
27'
Goal
+1.63 xT
N. O'Reilly - Manchester City
Assist: E. Haaland
14'
Goal
+1.41 xT
N. O'Reilly - Manchester City
Assist: Omar Marmoush
22'
Goal
+1.24 xT
L. Hall - Newcastle
Assist: J. Ramsey
87'
Substitution
+0.44 xT
P. Foden for A. Semenyo - Manchester City
Late drama
1.60
89'
Yellow card
+1.16 xT
Joelinton - Newcastle
87'
Substitution
+0.44 xT
P. Foden for A. Semenyo - Manchester City
Referee scandal
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Cruelty
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Crushed hope
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Other pretty unhinged matches
The most unhinged matches connected to this one.
Head-to-head
Premier League|28 Sept 2024
Newcastle
1Manchester City
112.81
Manchester City
Premier League|12 Nov 2023
Chelsea
4Manchester City
423.42
Newcastle
Premier League|30 Mar 2024
Newcastle
4West Ham
322.44
This season
Premier League|29 Nov 2025
Sunderland
3Bournemouth
223.16
Premier League
Premier League|30 Sept 2023
Tottenham
2Liverpool
124.66

