Manchester City 1-2 Aston Villa β xTears 9.74 (24/05/26)
Aston Villa came back to win 1-2 against Manchester City on 24 May 2026 during Matchday 38 of the Premier League. Total damage: 9.74 xTears.
The real swing for Aston Villa arrived through O. Watkins 47' goal (+1.34 xT) and O. Watkins 61' goal (+1.85 xT), the sequence that changed who owned the match.
The match changed hands after the first blow, and Aston Villa's comeback ended up outweighing the opening phase.
How It Unfolded
23'
Goal
A. Semenyo - Manchester City
47'
Goal
O. Watkins - Aston Villa
61'
Goal
O. Watkins - Aston Villa
Assist: R. Barkley
Absolute chaos
5.04
61'
Goal
+1.85 xT
O. Watkins - Aston Villa
Assist: R. Barkley
23'
Goal
+1.41 xT
A. Semenyo - Manchester City
47'
Goal
+1.34 xT
O. Watkins - Aston Villa
86'
Substitution
+0.44 xT
J. McGinn for R. Barkley - Aston Villa
Late drama
1.48
82'
Yellow card
+1.04 xT
R. Lewis - Manchester City
86'
Substitution
+0.44 xT
J. McGinn for R. Barkley - Aston Villa
All-out war
1.04
82'
Yellow card
+1.04 xT
R. Lewis - Manchester City
Referee scandal
Never really sparked
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Cruelty
Never really sparked
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Crushed hope
Never really sparked
0
Nothing big fed this one.

