📅 03/01/26🕒 12:30🏟️ Villa Park🧑⚖️ Simon Hooper, England
ScorerJ. McGinn2 goalsBiggest Swing+1.47 xT73' J. McGinnCards3
Aston Villa 3-1 Nottingham Forest — xTears 12.62 (03/01/26)
Final score: Aston Villa 3-1 Nottingham Forest on 3 January 2026 during Matchday 20 of the Premier League. Total xTears: 12.62.
J. McGinn ended up carrying the main damage for Aston Villa through O. Watkins at 45' goal (+1.41 xT) and then J. McGinn at 73' goal (+1.47 xT).
Control and disruption traded places throughout the match.
Share this damage report
How it unfolded
Timeline
45'
Goal
O. Watkins - Aston Villa
Assist: M. Rogers
49'
Goal
J. McGinn - Aston Villa
Assist: M. Cash
61'
Goal
M. Gibbs-White - Nottingham Forest
Assist: D. Bakwa
73'
Goal
J. McGinn - Aston Villa
Assist: Y. Tielemans
Absolute chaos
🧨
7.36
73'
Goal
+1.47 xT
J. McGinn - Aston Villa
Assist: Y. Tielemans
45'
Goal
+1.41 xT
O. Watkins - Aston Villa
Assist: M. Rogers
49'
Goal
+1.20 xT
J. McGinn - Aston Villa
Assist: M. Cash
61'
Goal
+1.14 xT
M. Gibbs-White - Nottingham Forest
Assist: D. Bakwa
Late drama
🔥
4.35
89'
Yellow card
+1.16 xT
J. McAtee - Nottingham Forest
90+4'
Yellow card
+1.05 xT
L. Bogarde - Aston Villa
83'
Substitution
+0.46 xT
Douglas Luiz for N. Domínguez - Nottingham Forest
83'
Substitution
+0.46 xT
A. Kalimuendo for Igor Jesus - Nottingham Forest
All-out war
🟥
3.20
89'
Yellow card
+1.16 xT
J. McAtee - Nottingham Forest
90+4'
Yellow card
+1.05 xT
L. Bogarde - Aston Villa
65'
Yellow card
+0.99 xT
D. Bakwa - Nottingham Forest
Referee scandal
🧑⚖️
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Cruelty
😈
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Crushed hope
💔
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Other pretty unhinged matches
The most unhinged matches connected to this one.
Head-to-head
Premier League|24 Feb 2024
Aston Villa
4
Nottingham Forest
213.99
xT
Aston Villa
Premier League|17 Dec 2023
Brentford
1Aston Villa
224.01
xT
Nottingham Forest
Premier League|25 Nov 2023
Nottingham Forest
2
Brighton
320.67
xT
This season
Premier League|29 Nov 2025
Sunderland
3
Bournemouth
223.16
xT
Premier League
Premier League|30 Sept 2023
Tottenham
2
Liverpool
124.66
xT