Aston Villa 1-4 Chelsea — xTears 16.79 (04/03/26)

Chelsea turned the 1-4 over Aston Villa on 4 March 2026 into a rout during Matchday 29 of the Premier League, although the flow stayed more open than the scoreline suggests. Total damage: 16.79 xTears.

João Pedro carried much of the damage, with the match first opening through João Pedro 35' goal (+1.24 xT); João Pedro 45' goal (+1.63 xT) then widened it further.

There was an early scare for Chelsea, but the response ended up stretching the match far beyond that opening punch. João Pedro bagged a hat-trick and bent the whole match around it.