Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano — xTears 22.81 (01/02/26)

Real Madrid won 2-1 against Rayo Vallecano on 1 February 2026 during Matchday 22 of La Liga, even with the xTears split tilting slightly the other way. Total damage: 22.81 xTears.

Even with the xTears split leaning slightly the other way, the heaviest moments for Real Madrid still ran through Vinícius Júnior 15' goal (+1.56 xT) and Kylian Mbappé 90' penalty (+2.38 xT).

The scoreboard and xTears did not tell exactly the same story: Real Madrid punished better without fully owning the emotional volume. The knife twist arrived right at the death: late winner (Kylian Mbappé at 90'). The match lost its cool with 10 yellows and 2 reds. Pep Chavarría eventually walked for a second booking. The referee still loomed large under Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain.