Espanyol 1-0 Rayo Vallecano — xTears 22.55 (07/12/25)

Espanyol won 1-0 against Rayo Vallecano on 7 December 2025 during Matchday 15 of La Liga, even with the xTears split tilting slightly the other way. Total damage: 22.55 xTears.

Even with the xTears split leaning slightly the other way, the heaviest moments for Espanyol still ran through Roberto Fernández 39' penalty (+1.77 xT) and C. Pickel 67' penalty overturned by VAR (+1.24 xT).

The scoreboard and xTears did not tell exactly the same story: Espanyol punished better without fully owning the emotional volume. The real gut punch came when VAR wiped the joy away: goal ruled out by VAR (Kike García at 84') and penalty overturned by VAR (C. Pickel at 67'). The match lost its cool with 12 yellows and 2 reds. Unai López eventually walked for a second booking. The whistle kept getting involved under Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez, Spain, with 2 VAR calls.