📅 12/09/26🕒 11:30🏟️ Pride Park
Biggest Swing+1.77 xT63' Paik Seung-HoCards4
Derby County 1-2 Birmingham City — xTears 11.90 (12/09/26)
Birmingham City came back to win 1-2 against Derby County on 12 September 2026 during Matchday 7 of EFL Championship. Total damage: 11.90 xTears.
The real swing for Birmingham City arrived through Carlos Vicente 42' goal (+1.24 xT) and Paik Seung-Ho 63' goal (+1.77 xT), the sequence that changed who owned the match.
The match changed hands after the first blow, and Birmingham City's comeback ended up outweighing the opening phase. Paik Seung-Ho came off the bench and delivered the winning swing.
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How it unfolded
Timeline
40'
Goal
1-0B. Clark - Derby County
Assist: S. Szmodics
42'
Goal
1-1Carlos Vicente - Birmingham City
Assist: L. Millar
63'
Goal
1-2Paik Seung-Ho - Birmingham City
Assist: L. Millar
Absolute chaos
🧨
6.90
63'
Goal
+1.77 xT
Paik Seung-Ho - Birmingham City
Assist: L. Millar
40'
Goal
+1.41 xT
B. Clark - Derby County
Assist: S. Szmodics
42'
Goal
+1.24 xT
Carlos Vicente - Birmingham City
Assist: L. Millar
90+5'
Substitution
+0.54 xT
L. Salvesen for C. Taylor - Derby County
Late drama
🔥
3.53
90+4'
Yellow card
+1.05 xT
Carlos Vicente - Birmingham City
90+5'
Substitution
+0.54 xT
L. Salvesen for C. Taylor - Derby County
85'
Substitution
+0.51 xT
C. Blackett-Taylor for D. Ozoh - Derby County
85'
Substitution
+0.51 xT
R. Hedges for E. Cashin - Derby County
All-out war
🟥
3.48
90+4'
Yellow card
+1.05 xT
Carlos Vicente - Birmingham City
19'
Yellow card
+0.81 xT
M. Fuseini - Derby County
21'
Yellow card
+0.81 xT
A. Cochrane - Birmingham City
44'
Yellow card
+0.81 xT
A. Priske - Birmingham City
Referee scandal
🧑⚖️
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Cruelty
😈
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Crushed hope
💔
Barely left a bruise
0
Nothing big fed this one.
Other pretty unhinged matches
The most unhinged matches connected to this one.
Head-to-head
EFL Championship|26 Dec 2025
Birmingham City
1
Derby County
114.87
xT
Derby County
EFL Championship|16 Aug 2025
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3
Coventry City
522.49
xT
Birmingham City
EFL Championship|18 Oct 2025
Birmingham City
2
Hull City
322.89
xT
This season
EFL Championship|22 Aug 2026
Southampton
3
Stoke City
120.12
xT
EFL Championship
EFL Championship|12 Aug 2023
Southampton
4
Norwich City
426.35
xT