📅 25/02/26🕒 20:00🏟️ Bernabéu🧑⚖️ Slavko Vinčić, Slovenia
Biggest Swing+1.70 xT80' Vinícius JúniorCards4VAR1review
Real Madrid 2-1 Benfica — xTears 12.77 (25/02/26)
Real Madrid came back to win 2-1 against Benfica on 25 February 2026 in the Champions League. Total damage: 12.77 xTears.
The real swing for Real Madrid arrived through A. Tchouaméni 16' goal (+1.24 xT) and Vinícius Júnior 80' goal (+1.70 xT), the sequence that changed who owned the match.
The match changed hands after the first blow, and Real Madrid's comeback ended up outweighing the opening phase.
How It Unfolded
Timeline
14'
Goal
Rafa - Benfica
16'
Goal
A. Tchouaméni - Real Madrid
Assist: F. Valverde
34'
Goal ruled out by VAR
A. Güler - Real Madrid
80'
Goal
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
Assist: F. Valverde
Absolute chaos
🧨
8.33
80'
Goal
+1.70 xT
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
Assist: F. Valverde
14'
Goal
+1.41 xT
Rafa - Benfica
16'
Goal
+1.24 xT
A. Tchouaméni - Real Madrid
Assist: F. Valverde
34'
Goal ruled out by VAR
+1.18 xT
A. Güler - Real Madrid
Late drama
🔥
5.55
80'
Goal
+1.70 xT
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
Assist: F. Valverde
90+6'
Yellow card
+1.05 xT
César Palacios - Real Madrid
90+1'
Substitution
+0.54 xT
S. Lopes Cabral for L. Barreiro - Benfica
85'
Substitution
+0.51 xT
E. Barrenechea for F. Aursnes - Benfica
All-out war
🟥
3.58
90+6'
Yellow card
+1.05 xT
César Palacios - Real Madrid
51'
Yellow card
+0.86 xT
N. Otamendi - Benfica
57'
Yellow card
+0.86 xT
Raúl Asencio - Real Madrid
35'
Yellow card
+0.81 xT
R. Rios - Benfica
Referee scandal
🧑⚖️
1.18
34'
Goal ruled out by VAR
+1.18 xT
A. Güler - Real Madrid
Crushed hope
💔
1.18
34'
Goal ruled out by VAR
+1.18 xT
A. Güler - Real Madrid
Cruelty
😈
Never really sparked
0
Nothing big fed this one.