📅 17/03/26🕒 20:00🏟️ Etihad Stadium🧑⚖️ Clement Turpin, France
ScorerVinícius Júnior2 goalsBiggest Swing+2.18 xT90' Vinícius JúniorCards4
Manchester City 1-2 Real Madrid — xTears 16.00 (17/03/26)
Real Madrid nicked it 1-2 against Manchester City on 17 March 2026 in the Round of 16 of the Champions League. Total damage: 16.00 xTears.
Vinícius Júnior ended up carrying the main damage for Real Madrid through Vinícius Júnior 90' goal (+2.18 xT) and then Vinícius Júnior 22' penalty (+1.77 xT).
There was no real calm here, just one momentum swing after another. The knife twist arrived right at the death: late winner (Vinícius Júnior at 90'). The whistle kept getting involved under Clement Turpin, France, with 2 VAR calls.
How It Unfolded
Timeline
20'
Red card
Bernardo Silva - Manchester City
20'
Penalty confirmed by VAR
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
22'
Penalty
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
41'
Goal
E. Haaland - Manchester City
90'
Goal
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
Assist: A. Tchouaméni
90+2'
Goal ruled out by VAR
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
Absolute chaos
🧨
9.70
90'
Goal
+2.18 xT
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
Assist: A. Tchouaméni
22'
Penalty
+1.77 xT
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
90+2'
Goal ruled out by VAR
+1.54 xT
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
20'
Red card
+1.36 xT
Bernardo Silva - Manchester City
Referee scandal
🧑⚖️
5.85
22'
Penalty
+1.77 xT
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
90+2'
Goal ruled out by VAR
+1.54 xT
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
20'
Red card
+1.36 xT
Bernardo Silva - Manchester City
20'
Penalty confirmed by VAR
+1.18 xT
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
Late drama
🔥
5.12
90'
Goal
+2.18 xT
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
Assist: A. Tchouaméni
90+2'
Goal ruled out by VAR
+1.54 xT
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
80'
Yellow card
+0.97 xT
T. Alexander-Arnold - Real Madrid
83'
Substitution
+0.43 xT
Dani Carvajal for T. Alexander-Arnold - Real Madrid
All-out war
🟥
4.16
20'
Red card
+1.36 xT
Bernardo Silva - Manchester City
76'
Yellow card
+0.97 xT
Kylian Mbappé - Real Madrid
80'
Yellow card
+0.97 xT
T. Alexander-Arnold - Real Madrid
45+4'
Yellow card
+0.86 xT
A. Khusanov - Manchester City
Cruelty
😈
3.72
90'
Goal
+2.18 xT
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
Assist: A. Tchouaméni
90+2'
Goal ruled out by VAR
+1.54 xT
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
Crushed hope
💔
2.18
90'
Goal
+2.18 xT
Vinícius Júnior - Real Madrid
Assist: A. Tchouaméni